Sampdoria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
GEN
0 - 0
SAM
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 4
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1949 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
90%
7%
4%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
SAM
2 - 1
FIO
66%
18%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAM
27%
24%
50%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1949 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
41%
27%
33%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
MOD
4 - 0
ASL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
MOD
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |