Sampdoria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAM
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
CHI
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
EMP
2 - 4
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
2 - 2
SAM
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
SPA
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FRO
0 - 0
ACM
19%
25%
57%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 1
FIO
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
OLP
3 - 1
ACM
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |