Serie A round 1

Sampdoria vs Atalanta analysis

Sampdoria Atalanta
79 ELO 88
12.3% Tilt -4.3%
419º General ELO ranking
30º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
23.4%
Sampdoria
23.2%
Draw
53.4%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
Sampdoria
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
53.4%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sampdoria
-5%
-6%
Atalanta

Points and table prediction

Sampdoria
Their league position
Atalanta
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
15º
20º
20º
64
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
90
90
100%
Lazio
74
74
100%
Inter
72
72
100%
Juventus
62
72
100%
Milan
70
70
100%
Atalanta
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
56
56
100%
Torino
53
53
100%
Bologna
10º
52
52
10º
100%
AC Monza
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Sassuolo
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Salernitana
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Lecce
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Hellas Verona
18º
31
31
17º
0%
Spezia
17º
31
31
18º
0%
Cremonese
19º
27
27
19º
100%
Sampdoria
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sampdoria
Atalanta
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Sampdoria
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2022
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 0
Reggina
REG
78%
15%
8%
79 65 14 0
30 Jul. 2022
BJK
Beşiktaş
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
52%
24%
24%
79 80 1 0
23 Jul. 2022
BRE
Brescia
0 - 2
Sampdoria
SAM
48%
24%
29%
79 76 3 0
16 Jul. 2022
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
66%
19%
15%
79 71 8 0
22 May. 2022
INT
Inter
3 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
82%
12%
5%
79 92 13 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
VCF
Valencia
2 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
36%
25%
39%
88 86 2 0
29 Jul. 2022
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
25%
25%
51%
88 84 4 0
23 Jul. 2022
ATL
Atalanta
4 - 0
Como
COM
86%
9%
4%
88 63 25 0
21 May. 2022
ATL
Atalanta
0 - 1
Empoli
EMP
76%
15%
9%
88 78 10 0
15 May. 2022
ACM
Milan
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
44%
25%
31%
89 90 1 -1