Serie A Round 6

Sampdoria vs Mantova analysis

Sampdoria Mantova
78 ELO 73
-11.3% Tilt -9.6%
380º General ELO ranking 1045º
30º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
63.4%
Sampdoria
20.8%
Draw
15.8%
Mantova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
Sampdoria
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.8%
Win probability
Mantova
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sampdoria
+6%
+4%
Mantova

ELO progression

Sampdoria
Mantova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sampdoria
Sampdoria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 1964
BOL
Bologna
0 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
75%
15%
11%
78 86 8 0
04 Oct. 1964
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
41%
26%
33%
77 84 7 +1
27 Sep. 1964
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Sampdoria
SAM
40%
27%
33%
77 70 7 0
20 Sep. 1964
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
34%
26%
41%
76 86 10 +1
13 Sep. 1964
VIC
Vicenza
0 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
48%
25%
27%
76 78 2 0

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 1964
MAN
Mantova
2 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
50%
26%
24%
73 71 2 0
04 Oct. 1964
JUV
Juventus
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
75%
16%
9%
74 85 11 -1
27 Sep. 1964
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
46%
27%
27%
74 69 5 0
20 Sep. 1964
MAN
Mantova
0 - 4
Milan
ACM
18%
24%
58%
75 88 13 -1
13 Sep. 1964
TOR
Torino
2 - 0
Mantova
MAN
60%
22%
18%
75 82 7 0