Sampayo U. vs Caldas B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.1%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampayo U.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 1
SAM
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 1
CER
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
POY
2 - 3
SAM
23%
20%
58%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SUU
1 - 7
SAM
13%
17%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
81%
12%
7%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 3
SAN
36%
21%
44%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
CAL
50%
20%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 4
MOS
16%
18%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
POR
27%
20%
54%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COT
1 - 3
CAL
85%
10%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +3 |