Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
ITA
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
TIG
0 - 3
SAM
37%
27%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 0
POR
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
BON
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SER
0 - 1
GOY
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
NCI
0 - 0
SER
21%
21%
58%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AFC
2 - 1
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
ANG
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |