Sampaio Correa vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 2
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
COT
0 - 0
SAM
61%
24%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 1
CRI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BOA
3 - 1
SAM
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
SAM
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRB
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAO
45%
29%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
FFL
2 - 1
VIL
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |