Samgurali vs FC Iberia 1999 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
2º
6º
5º
51
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
DBA
4 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
FTK
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DTB
5 - 2
SAM
57%
23%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
TEL
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GAG
0 - 0
SAM
20%
25%
56%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
FC Iberia 1999
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 0
GAG
77%
16%
7%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
SAB
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 2
GOR
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
5 - 1
SHU
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
1 - 3
FTK
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |