Samger vs Marimoo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
WAA
2 - 0
SAM
52%
28%
21%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
FAL
1 - 0
SAM
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
BRI
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAM
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
HAW
0 - 1
SAM
53%
28%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marimoo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
GPA
42%
31%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
FOR
43%
30%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
BRI
44%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TAL
0 - 3
MAR
33%
30%
38%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +2 |