Samegrelo vs Chela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samegrelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
MEG
1 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BAK
2 - 1
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAZ
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1999 |
PAZ
2 - 1
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CHE
2 - 0
BAK
22%
25%
53%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CHE
73%
17%
11%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CHE
1 - 1
PAZ
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
SHU
10 - 0
CHE
81%
14%
6%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | -1 |