Samarra vs Al Naft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
SFC
0 - 1
BFC
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
SFC
1 - 0
KAR
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
DIY
0 - 1
SFC
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
SFC
1 - 0
ALK
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Al Naft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
ALK
0 - 1
ALN
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
ALN
2 - 0
DIY
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
ALN
3 - 1
RAM
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
ALT
3 - 3
ALN
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2005 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALN
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |