Samarra vs Al Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Samarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2002 |
ADI
1 - 0
SFC
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
DIW
2 - 0
SFC
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
SFC
0 - 4
ALS
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
SFC
2 - 0
ALN
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
KFC
1 - 1
SFC
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
JAI
0 - 2
ALM
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2002 |
JAI
1 - 0
ALN
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2002 |
ARB
1 - 2
JAI
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
ALZ
6 - 0
JAI
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2002 |
JAI
2 - 1
ADI
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |