Sámano vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
TEX
1 - 2
SAM
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
RIB
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GIM
4 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
BAR
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
SDT
1 - 1
SAM
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAY
5 - 1
BAR
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CAY
2 - 0
SIE
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
TEX
1 - 2
CAY
33%
26%
42%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAY
4 - 0
RIB
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
GIM
0 - 0
CAY
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |