Sámano vs Atco. Deva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
REO
2 - 1
SAM
20%
23%
57%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SAM
5 - 5
VEL
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
SAM
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
REV
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SDT
2 - 1
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 2
SEL
24%
25%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
COM
6 - 0
DEV
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DEV
2 - 2
AYR
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
5 - 1
DEV
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DEV
1 - 1
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |