Salzburg vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FCK
1 - 2
RBS
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
RBS
5 - 0
FCK
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
MAT
0 - 1
RBS
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
RBS
0 - 0
AUS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
STR
4 - 2
RBS
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDI
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MOD
0 - 1
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
UDI
1 - 2
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UDI
2 - 1
LAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 2
UDI
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |