Salus vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
84.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
3.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.2%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
HAL
2 - 2
SAL
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 3
BAS
4%
10%
86%
|
41 | 68 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
HAL
3 - 0
SAL
63%
20%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
POT
13%
17%
70%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 5
HFC
6%
12%
82%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
1 - 0
POT
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
4 - 0
CAN
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
3 - 0
POT
60%
21%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
ROC
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
LUZ
0 - 4
BAS
19%
20%
61%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |