Salus vs Basáñez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 0
ALT
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 1
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
ALB
13%
16%
71%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
PLA
1 - 0
SAL
63%
20%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
LUZ
35%
23%
42%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Basáñez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 1
HBU
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
BAS
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
POT
0 - 3
BAS
11%
15%
74%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
PDP
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |