Saltdean United vs Crawley Down Gatwick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saltdean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
PEA
1 - 0
SAL
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
LOX
88%
9%
4%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 0
TOW
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
3 - 1
LIN
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
5 - 0
SAL
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Crawley Down Gatwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
CRA
22%
19%
59%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 0
AUC
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 0
HAS
73%
15%
12%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 4
BRO
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
CRA
31%
22%
48%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |