Salisbury City vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 3
CHI
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
5 - 0
BAR
91%
7%
3%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
NOR
3 - 2
SAL
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 1
SAL
8%
14%
77%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 3
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
TAU
5 - 0
SWI
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 3
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BRI
0 - 5
SWI
11%
17%
73%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
WIM
1 - 5
SWI
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 3
EVE
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |