SC Salgueiros vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
12º
3º
35
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2025 |
GFC
1 - 2
SAL
33%
26%
42%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
0 - 0
ALP
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
1 - 0
UNI
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
GON
0 - 0
SAL
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
4 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
MAC
0 - 1
UNI
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
GON
2 - 0
MAC
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CIN
0 - 2
MAC
51%
25%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
COI
61%
20%
20%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |