Salgueiro vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASA
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CUI
0 - 1
SAL
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 1
FOR
22%
28%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 2
SAL
61%
22%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 2
SAL
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
ARN
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
VIL
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |