Salford City vs Workington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 1
ASH
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
STO
1 - 2
SAL
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAN
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 1
SAL
18%
21%
61%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
ASH
0 - 3
SAL
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Workington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
BLY
3 - 4
WOR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
5 - 0
BUX
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
WOR
4 - 1
MAT
66%
21%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ASH
0 - 1
WOR
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 0
WOR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |