Salernitana vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
55.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
EMP
3 - 0
SAL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 0
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
5 - 0
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
SAL
3 - 3
TRI
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TER
1 - 1
SAL
54%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
76%
16%
7%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
CAT
0 - 0
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
TRE
81%
14%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 1
PRG
16%
23%
61%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 1
CRO
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | +1 |