Salernitana vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1955 |
MOD
3 - 0
SAL
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
VER
0 - 1
SAL
63%
21%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
SAL
0 - 3
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
UNI
2 - 1
SAL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
SAL
0 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 0
USA
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAR
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 1
TRE
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
65%
20%
16%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |