UD Salamanca vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
15.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ALB
10 - 0
SLA
44%
21%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SLA
2 - 0
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
VAL
3 - 0
SLA
67%
16%
16%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SLA
3 - 0
MLL
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SLA
4 - 1
CAS
43%
23%
35%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
PUL
4 - 1
RCD
51%
21%
28%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
LEV
3 - 2
PUL
86%
9%
6%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
PUL
2 - 1
ALC
34%
23%
43%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
CAS
0 - 1
PUL
79%
12%
9%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ELC
1 - 0
PUL
63%
17%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |