St Geneviève vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Geneviève
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
PFC
1 - 0
STG
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
STG
1 - 1
SEN
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
STG
5 - 0
FCM
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
PON
4 - 3
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
STG
1 - 2
PAC
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPI
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
1 - 0
MET
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
CAL
3 - 2
TRO
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
LEN
2 - 0
CAL
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CAL
5 - 0
FEI
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |