Saint-Étienne vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 0
AUX
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
GRE
1 - 2
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
LHA
1 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 3
SED
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
3 - 1
NAN
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
LEV
0 - 1
RED
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
RED
0 - 1
BRC
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
ANG
4 - 0
RED
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
RED
4 - 2
NÎM
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
RED
2 - 0
FRE
67%
19%
13%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |