Saint-Étienne vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
28.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GIR
1 - 2
ASS
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
PSG
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SOC
2 - 1
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 2
REN
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 2
LIL
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
23%
26%
52%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASN
4 - 0
LEN
47%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
REN
0 - 2
ASN
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASN
3 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 2
ASN
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |