Ligue 1 . Jor. 30

Saint-Étienne vs Lille analysis

Saint-Étienne Lille
84 ELO 81
-14.1% Tilt -14.4%
785º General ELO ranking 67º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51%
Saint-Étienne
25.9%
Draw
23.1%
Lille

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
Saint-Étienne
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.1%
Win probability
Lille
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Saint-Étienne
+19%
-1%
Lille

ELO progression

Saint-Étienne
Lille
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint-Étienne
Saint-Étienne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2015
MET
Metz
2 - 3
Saint-Étienne
ASS
27%
29%
44%
85 73 12 0
08 Mar. 2015
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 0
Lorient
LOR
52%
25%
23%
85 80 5 0
03 Mar. 2015
USB
US Boulogne
1 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
22%
27%
51%
84 62 22 +1
28 Feb. 2015
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 1
Saint-Étienne
ASS
35%
28%
36%
84 78 6 0
22 Feb. 2015
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 2
Olympique Marseille
MAR
43%
27%
30%
84 84 0 0

Matches

Lille
Lille
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2015
LIL
Lille
3 - 0
Stade Rennais
REN
43%
27%
29%
82 81 1 0
08 Mar. 2015
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 1
Lille
LIL
40%
26%
34%
83 78 5 -1
28 Feb. 2015
LIL
Lille
2 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
27%
26%
48%
82 86 4 +1
21 Feb. 2015
BAS
Bastia
2 - 1
Lille
LIL
44%
26%
30%
82 79 3 0
14 Feb. 2015
LIL
Lille
0 - 0
Nice
NIC
43%
27%
31%
82 80 2 0
X