Saint-Étienne vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
ESW
2 - 1
ASS
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
ASS
2 - 2
FCM
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
ASS
0 - 1
FCG
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
VAL
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
22%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
CAE
0 - 1
ASB
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
CSL
0 - 2
CAE
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
CAE
0 - 0
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SPO
2 - 1
CAE
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1997 |
CAE
0 - 0
NIO
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |