Sacramento Republic vs Orange County SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
TUL
0 - 4
SAC
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
1 - 1
LAG
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
SAC
41%
25%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 1
ORA
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
VAN
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Orange County SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ORA
4 - 0
COL
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 1
RGV
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
ORA
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAC
2 - 1
ORA
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 1
SAC
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |