National 3 Pays de la Loire Round 8

Sablé vs La Roche Vendée analysis

Sablé La Roche Vendée
31 ELO 38
5% Tilt -13.6%
6995º General ELO ranking 2919º
227º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Sablé
23.9%
Draw
38.6%
La Roche Vendée

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
Sablé
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.6%
Win probability
La Roche Vendée
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sablé
-29%
+49%
La Roche Vendée

Points and table prediction

Sablé
Their league position
La Roche Vendée
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche Vendée
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
ESOFV La Roche
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
Sablé
La Roche Vendée
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sablé
La Roche Vendée
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sablé
Sablé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
2 - 1
Sablé
SAB
36%
24%
40%
33 28 5 0
05 Nov. 2022
SAB
Sablé
5 - 1
Beaucouzé
SCB
65%
18%
17%
31 26 5 +2
30 Oct. 2022
PLO
Plouvorn
0 - 0
Sablé
SAB
12%
17%
72%
32 11 21 -1
23 Oct. 2022
CHA
Challans
1 - 2
Sablé
SAB
52%
24%
25%
31 34 3 +1
01 Oct. 2022
SAB
Sablé
2 - 2
USSA Vertou
USS
47%
24%
30%
30 33 3 +1

Matches

La Roche Vendée
La Roche Vendée
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
FON
Fontenay
2 - 0
La Roche Vendée
LRO
42%
24%
33%
38 37 1 0
05 Nov. 2022
LRO
La Roche Vendée
7 - 1
Saint-Nazaire AF
SNA
66%
19%
16%
37 29 8 +1
22 Oct. 2022
SCB
Beaucouzé
1 - 2
La Roche Vendée
LRO
27%
22%
51%
37 26 11 0
01 Oct. 2022
LRO
La Roche Vendée
0 - 0
Challans
CHA
56%
23%
22%
37 33 4 0
17 Sep. 2022
LRO
La Roche Vendée
1 - 3
Pouzauges-Réaumur
ACP
65%
19%
17%
37 29 8 0