1. FC Saarbrücken vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
ASL
0 - 2
SAA
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
SAA
2 - 0
EIN
79%
14%
8%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
SAA
2 - 0
VFR
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
SAA
1 - 1
SAA
26%
25%
50%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
SAA
3 - 2
PIR
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
M05
0 - 3
TUS
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
HOM
2 - 2
M05
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
RVO
0 - 1
M05
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
M05
2 - 1
WWO
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
FVS
4 - 0
M05
48%
25%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |