3. Liga . Jor. 4

1. FC Saarbrücken vs Alemannia Aachen analysis

1. FC Saarbrücken Alemannia Aachen
60 ELO 63
11% Tilt 11.4%
557º General ELO ranking 2794º
30º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
45.7%
1. FC Saarbrücken
25.1%
Draw
29.3%
Alemannia Aachen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1. FC Saarbrücken
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.3%
Win probability
Alemannia Aachen
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
1. FC Saarbrücken
+14%
+37%
Alemannia Aachen

ELO progression

1. FC Saarbrücken
Alemannia Aachen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

1. FC Saarbrücken
1. FC Saarbrücken
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 2
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
41%
26%
34%
61 58 3 0
28 Jul. 2012
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
0 - 1
VfL Osnabrück
OSN
52%
24%
24%
62 62 0 -1
21 Jul. 2012
STU
Stuttgart II
0 - 1
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
37%
26%
37%
61 58 3 +1
05 May. 2012
SAA
1. FC Saarbrücken
4 - 2
Unterhaching
UNT
58%
22%
20%
61 57 4 0
28 Apr. 2012
OFC
Kickers Offenbach FC
2 - 3
1. FC Saarbrücken
SAA
48%
26%
27%
60 63 3 +1

Matches

Alemannia Aachen
Alemannia Aachen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2012
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
1 - 1
B. Dortmund II
BOR
56%
22%
22%
63 58 5 0
28 Jul. 2012
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
3 - 2
SV Wacker Burghausen
WAC
60%
22%
18%
63 58 5 0
20 Jul. 2012
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
40%
26%
34%
62 58 4 +1
06 May. 2012
MUN
1860 München
1 - 2
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
69%
19%
12%
62 72 10 0
29 Apr. 2012
AAA
Alemannia Aachen
1 - 0
Karlsruher SC
KSC
54%
23%
23%
62 60 2 0
X