Rutgers vs Northwestern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rutgers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
RSK
0 - 3
IDH
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
PSN
4 - 2
RSK
70%
16%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RSK
0 - 1
MGW
48%
21%
31%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
RSK
2 - 0
MLT
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 1
RSK
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Northwestern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
MLT
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
IDH
3 - 0
NOR
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 1
PSN
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 1
WIS
84%
11%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
MSS
2 - 0
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |