European U19 Championship qualifying Group F Round 1

Russia U19 vs Lithuania U19 analysis

Russia U19 Lithuania U19
57 ELO 49
0% Tilt 0%
28635º General ELO ranking 20700º
266º Country ELO ranking 68º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Russia U19
18.1%
Draw
13.6%
Lithuania U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
Russia U19
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.6%
Win probability
Lithuania U19
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Russia U19
+9%
+5%
Lithuania U19

ELO progression

Russia U19
Lithuania U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Russia U19
Russia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2005
UKR
Ukraine U19
1 - 0
Russia U19
RUS
46%
23%
30%
57 57 0 0
22 Oct. 2004
IRL
Ireland U19
2 - 1
Russia U19
RUS
41%
24%
35%
58 56 2 -1
20 Oct. 2004
RUS
Russia U19
5 - 0
Andorra U19
AND
87%
10%
3%
57 36 21 +1
18 Oct. 2004
RUS
Russia U19
5 - 1
Cyprus U19
CYP
73%
16%
11%
57 47 10 0
23 Apr. 2004
TUR
Turkey U19
1 - 1
Russia U19
RUS
42%
24%
34%
56 56 0 +1

Matches

Lithuania U19
Lithuania U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2005
LTU
Lithuania U19
0 - 2
Norway U19
NOR
39%
24%
37%
51 52 1 0
22 Oct. 2004
LTU
Lithuania U19
1 - 3
Slovakia U19
SVK
36%
24%
40%
51 54 3 0
20 Oct. 2004
GEO
Georgia U19
2 - 3
Lithuania U19
LTU
45%
24%
32%
50 50 0 +1
18 Oct. 2004
LTU
Lithuania U19
1 - 0
Malta U19
MLT
68%
18%
14%
50 42 8 0
24 May. 2004
NED
Netherlands U19
1 - 0
Lithuania U19
LTU
62%
20%
18%
50 55 5 0