European U21 Championship qualifying Qualifying Round Round 9

Rusia U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis

Rusia U21 Portugal U21
74 ELO 78
6.4% Tilt 6.3%
1595º General ELO ranking 415º
12º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
41.9%
Rusia U21
26%
Draw
32.1%
Portugal U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
Rusia U21
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.1%
Win probability
Portugal U21
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Rusia U21
Portugal U21
Moldavia U21
Polonia U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rusia U21
Rusia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2011
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 6
Rusia U21
RUS
12%
18%
70%
73 51 22 0
06 Sep. 2011
POL
Polonia U21
0 - 2
Rusia U21
RUS
28%
24%
48%
72 61 11 +1
05 Jun. 2011
ESP
España U21
1 - 1
Rusia U21
RUS
63%
21%
16%
73 83 10 -1
13 Apr. 2011
ITA
Italia U21
2 - 0
Rusia U21
RUS
58%
23%
19%
73 83 10 0
29 Mar. 2011
RUS
Rusia U21
8 - 0
Azerbaiyán U21
AZE
85%
11%
4%
73 38 35 0

Matches

Portugal U21
Portugal U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2011
POR
Portugal U21
1 - 1
Polonia U21
POL
72%
18%
10%
78 60 18 0
05 Sep. 2011
POR
Portugal U21
1 - 0
Francia U21
FRA
40%
26%
34%
78 83 5 0
01 Sep. 2011
MDA
Moldavia U21
0 - 2
Portugal U21
POR
11%
20%
69%
78 52 26 0
09 Aug. 2011
POR
Portugal U21
1 - 1
Eslovaquia U21
SVK
71%
18%
11%
78 65 13 0
03 Jun. 2011
POR
Portugal U21
2 - 0
Austria U21
AUT
67%
20%
13%
78 67 11 0