Rupel Boom vs Waterloo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rupel Boom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
RUP
2 - 2
BOR
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
OLS
3 - 2
RUP
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
RUP
3 - 2
GUL
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
COX
2 - 3
RUP
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
RUP
4 - 2
LON
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Waterloo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
WAT
2 - 1
EPP
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
WAT
3 - 0
VBD
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 1
WAT
40%
23%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 1
OLY
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
REB
3 - 2
WAT
45%
24%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |