FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 5-2
Runcorn Linnets vs Avro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
RUN
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
GLO
3 - 1
RUN
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 0
WID
76%
14%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 1
RUN
22%
23%
55%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
RUN
1 - 9
HAR
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 1
RUN
34%
22%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
IRL
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 1
AFC
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WES
1 - 3
AFC
19%
19%
62%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 2
AFC
42%
22%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |