European U21 Championship qualifying Group H Round 1

Romania U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis

Romania U21 Lithuania U21
65 ELO 57
-3.1% Tilt -1%
2134º General ELO ranking 7171º
28º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
63.1%
Romania U21
21.3%
Draw
15.6%
Lithuania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
Romania U21
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
Lithuania U21
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Romania U21
-8%
-24%
Lithuania U21

ELO progression

Romania U21
Lithuania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Romania U21
Romania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 1995
SVK
Slovakia U21
3 - 1
Romania U21
ROU
42%
26%
32%
65 60 5 0
10 Oct. 1995
ROU
Romania U21
0 - 0
France U21
FRA
32%
27%
42%
65 76 11 0
05 Sep. 1995
POL
Poland U21
3 - 3
Romania U21
ROU
48%
25%
27%
65 63 2 0
06 Jun. 1995
ROU
Romania U21
1 - 0
Israel U21
ISR
53%
24%
23%
64 62 2 +1
25 Apr. 1995
AZE
Azerbaijan U21
0 - 5
Romania U21
ROU
33%
26%
41%
63 52 11 +1

Matches

Lithuania U21
Lithuania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Nov. 1995
ITA
Italy U21
0 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
81%
14%
5%
56 78 22 0
10 Oct. 1995
LTU
Lithuania U21
3 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
63%
19%
18%
56 51 5 0
05 Sep. 1995
LTU
Lithuania U21
3 - 3
Ukraine U21
UKR
32%
26%
42%
55 65 10 +1
15 Aug. 1995
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 5
Lithuania U21
LTU
56%
21%
23%
53 52 1 +2
08 Jun. 1995
LTU
Lithuania U21
1 - 2
Slovenia U21
SVN
36%
26%
38%
54 62 8 -1