Rukinzo vs TOP Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rukinzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOI
0 - 0
RUK
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
RUK
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RUK
1 - 0
LCR
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
RUK
0 - 0
NGO
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RUK
1 - 2
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
TOP Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TJU
0 - 0
BUM
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NGO
1 - 0
TJU
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
TJU
2 - 1
ANM
21%
20%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
TJU
0 - 1
DYN
29%
23%
47%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KAY
3 - 3
TJU
73%
15%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |