Rugby Town vs Harborough Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DES
2 - 2
RUG
7%
12%
81%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
RUG
3 - 2
BUG
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
RUG
1 - 0
COV
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
COG
0 - 1
RUG
13%
16%
71%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
RUG
0 - 3
LER
19%
20%
61%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Harborough Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NOC
0 - 3
HAR
4%
10%
85%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 1
HAR
11%
16%
73%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
7 - 0
EAS
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
7 - 0
BIG
90%
7%
3%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
NEW
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |