Rugby Town vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rugby Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2014 |
POT
0 - 1
RUG
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 6
RUG
9%
17%
74%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
RUG
1 - 1
KET
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 5
RUG
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
RUG
2 - 1
DAV
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 0
DAV
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
BEA
3 - 2
NOR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
BEA
2 - 0
ASH
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
BEA
3 - 1
SLO
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
EGH
0 - 3
BEA
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |