Royston Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Royston Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ROY
2 - 0
DUN
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
HIT
1 - 0
ROY
29%
23%
47%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ROY
1 - 1
DUN
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
GOS
2 - 3
ROY
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
FAR
0 - 1
ROY
33%
23%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
HER
8 - 0
GOD
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 1
MER
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
STN
1 - 3
HER
18%
22%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
SLO
64%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
TIV
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |