Rothes vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
61.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 4
ROT
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 7
FOR
14%
19%
68%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LOS
3 - 1
ROT
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 9
COV
12%
18%
70%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BRO
6 - 0
ROT
82%
13%
6%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DEV
5 - 2
KEI
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KEI
4 - 2
STR
83%
12%
6%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
INV
3 - 1
KEI
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
WIC
1 - 0
KEI
78%
14%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KEI
2 - 3
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | -1 |