Rotherham United vs York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 2
NTT
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
OPA
3 - 2
ROT
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 1
IPS
25%
25%
50%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CRY
0 - 0
ROT
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
CUM
1 - 2
YOR
43%
27%
30%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
OXF
2 - 0
YOR
47%
27%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
YOR
0 - 2
EXE
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
YOR
0 - 0
KID
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LIN
1 - 0
YOR
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |