Rot-Weiss Essen vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
20.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 4
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
5 - 1
ROT
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WUP
2 - 2
ROT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
VER
67%
20%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 1
VER
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
VER
5 - 1
BOC
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
VER
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
MSV
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |