Rot-Weiss Essen vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
AHA
3 - 0
ROT
33%
24%
43%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
ROT
2 - 2
HAN
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1979 |
ROT
3 - 3
LEV
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ROT
52%
22%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ROT
1 - 3
WHE
78%
14%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
HOL
0 - 1
USO
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
HOL
0 - 0
KÖL
40%
27%
34%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1979 |
DSC
1 - 1
HOL
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1979 |
TEN
9 - 0
HOL
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1979 |
HOL
2 - 0
VIK
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |