Rot-Weiss Essen vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
13.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
WUP
2 - 0
ROT
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 1
WAT
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
ARB
2 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
ROT
1 - 2
WHE
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
SWE
3 - 3
ROT
27%
25%
47%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
KÖL
3 - 1
AHA
67%
18%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1978 |
RWL
1 - 1
KÖL
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1978 |
KÖL
1 - 0
LEV
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1978 |
OSC
1 - 3
KÖL
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1978 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |