Rot-Weiss Essen vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1978 |
ROT
2 - 1
DSC
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
USO
3 - 1
ROT
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VIK
3 - 2
ROT
26%
28%
46%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ROT
4 - 1
STP
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
WUP
1 - 1
ROT
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
AAA
0 - 0
VIK
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
WUP
1 - 3
AAA
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
AAA
4 - 0
OSN
51%
25%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1978 |
F95
2 - 1
AAA
82%
12%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
HOL
2 - 1
AAA
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |